Simultaneous equations

Summary

Simultaneous equations

  • If you have two dependent variables y1 and y2 and each can be modelled using a linear regression model, we say that we have simultaneous equations .
  • The LRM for y1 may contain y2 as well as additional explanatory variables and vice versa.

Example

yi,1=β1+β2yi,2+β3xi,2+β4xi,3+εi,1i=1,,n

yi,2=γ1+γ2yi,1+γ3xi,2+γ4xi,4+εi,2i=1,,n

  • These equations are also called structural equations as they are meant to describe the actual structure of the model.
  • If

E(εi,1|xi)=E(εi,2|xi)=0

  • then xi,2,xi,3,xi,4 are called exogenous variables (determined outside the system). yi,1 , yi,2 are called endogenous variables (determined within the system).
  • If we solve the structural equations for yi,1 , yi,2 then we get what is called the reduced form equations . These will, in general, demonstrate that

E(εi,1|yi,2)0,E(εi,2|yi,1)0

  • Thus, y2 is not exogenous in the first equation and y1 is not exogenous in the second equation.

Main point

  • The structural equations in a simultaneous equations system cannot, in general, be estimated individually with OLS as they contain endogenous variables.
  • The bias introduced from estimating a single structural equation is called the simultaneous equations bias .
  • Whenever in a single LRM, you can argue that not only does an x -variable partly explain y but it is also the case that the x -variable is partly explained by y , then you actually have simultaneous equations. Your x -variable will not be exogenous and you model will suffer from simultaneous equations bias.