The Gauss Markov theorem
Summary
- Setup:
- a linear regression model \(y=Xβ+ε\) with a random sample
- the Gauss-Markov assumptions, \(E\left( ε \right|X)=0\) and \(Var\left( ε \right|X)=σ^2I\)
- The OLS estimator is the Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE): the OLS estimator has the smallest variance among all linear unbiased estimators.
- Formally, if \(\tilde{b}=Ay\) is a linear estimator of \(β\) which is unbiased, \(E\left( \tilde{b} \right)=β\) then
\[Var\left( \tilde{b}|X \right)-Var\left( b \right|X)\]
- is a positive semidefinite matrix .